A public, timestamped, honest record of predictions and outcomes. We publish falsifiable predictions before the data arrives, then track whether we're right. Intellectual honesty is what makes this tracker credible to scientists.
CONFIRMED: Prediction matches observed data within measurement uncertainty. Independent verification available.
PENDING: Observation window not yet reached, or data collection in progress.
DISCONFIRMED: Prediction contradicted by observed data. We show failed predictions to maintain scientific credibility.
All predictions are timestamped before observation windows open. Data sources are cited for independent verification. This tracker is updated as new data becomes available.